Probability simulation · AS 91268
Investigate a situation involving elements of chance using a simulation
Investigate a situation involving elements of chance using a simulation
NZQA suppresses grade rates for low-cohort standards.
This standard asks you to design and run a probability simulation to investigate a real situation involving chance or uncertainty. You'll need to plan your simulation carefully (choosing tools, deciding how many trials to run), carry it out, analyse the results with graphs and statistics, and write up what you found out.
You show all the main steps of the simulation process: designing it, running it, displaying results, and writing a conclusion—but the connection between your choices and the real situation could be stronger.
You explain why you made each design choice in your simulation and link your results back to the original situation, supported by evidence from your data.
You integrate probability knowledge with real-world context throughout, reflect on whether your simulation process worked well, and consider other variables or factors that might affect the outcome.
Standards typically taken alongside or after this one. Same subject, grouped by level.